Pizza gets whacked: DMP shorts jump +4.06% as uranium stays crowded
October 2024
October’s cleanest signal was Domino’s (DMP): shorts surged 5.08% → 9.14% (+4.06%), the biggest move on the board. The other fight is uranium — Boss Energy (BOE) climbed to 15.38% (+2.72%) alongside Paladin (PDN) at 14.64% (+0.72%). Covering was just as violent in pockets: Web Travel (WEB) fell 6.21% → 2.25% (-3.95%) and Mineral Resources (MIN) slid 13.40% → 9.93% (-3.48%).
This Month's Analysis
The biggest move in October wasn’t lithium. It was pizza. Domino’s (DMP) copped a short-stack from 5.08% to 9.14% (+4.06%) in a single month — the kind of build you only see when funds are positioning for a near-term test of the story.
Pilbara Minerals (PLS) still wears the crown at 19.22% short, barely changed month-on-month (-0.17%). The lithium bear case doesn’t need daily newsflow — it just needs pricing pressure to linger. But the table is starting to look like a uranium register. BOE is now #2 at 15.38% (+2.72%), with PDN #4 at 14.64% (+0.72%) and Deep Yellow (DYL) #9 at 9.86% (+0.00%). That’s not one stock being targeted; it’s a sector trade. The common thread is execution risk: ramp-ups, timelines, and cashflow delivery. BOE’s own materials lean heavily into the ramp narrative at Honeymoon and progress at Alta Mesa (http://www.bossenergy.com/images/media/2973720.pdf; http://www.bossenergy.com/images/documents/Dec24-Quarterly-Results-Presentation.pdf). Shorts are effectively saying: prove it. IDP Education (IEL) sits at 14.82% (+0.55%). That’s a steady, persistent position in a business where policy settings and student mobility can turn quickly. MIN is the standout change inside the top 10: still high at 9.93%, but down hard from 13.40% (-3.48%). That’s real covering, not a trim. If you’re tracking how management frames the business, MIN’s reporting pack is here: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/o6ep64o3/production/b23c9b1f93dbe5cc41520061cafecf0c1d214c77.pdf.
Daily Snapshots
Top Shorted Stocks This Month
Biggest Risers
Stocks with the largest increase in short interest this month.
Biggest Fallers
Stocks with the largest decrease in short interest this month.
Movers Analysis
The risers tell you where the market wants pain. DMP: 5.08% → 9.14% (+4.06%). This is a straight shot at a turnaround narrative in a cost-of-living tape — delivery, discounting, and food input costs don’t need to be catastrophic to make guidance fragile. NCK: 2.27% → 5.20% (+2.93%). Big-ticket discretionary. When shorts build here, they’re leaning into the idea that rate fatigue shows up first in furniture and home spend. BOE: 12.66% → 15.38% (+2.72%). Uranium optimism is alive, but the short interest says the market is stress-testing who can actually ramp production cleanly. CTD: 5.22% → 7.89% (+2.68%). Corporate travel is cyclical and confidence-sensitive; a short build reads like a bet that growth normalises and expectations are too high. Background reading: https://investor.travelctm.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/2024-Annual-Report-web.pdf. SGR: 5.30% → 7.72% (+2.41%). This is the market pricing asymmetric risk — regulation and balance-sheet questions don’t need much oxygen to keep shorts interested. The fallers show where the easy money may already have been made. WEB: 6.21% → 2.25% (-3.95%). That’s an exit. When shorts clear out that fast, it’s usually because the catalyst has played out or the squeeze risk isn’t worth the borrow. MIN: 13.40% → 9.93% (-3.48%). Covering in a liquid, heavily watched miner tends to be deliberate. LOT: 8.29% → 5.18% (-3.10%). Even within uranium, there’s rotation — some names are being pressed while others are being de-risked. APX: 2.93% → 0.10% (-2.84%). Shorts basically walked away. AUB: 3.28% → 0.65% (-2.63%). Another sharp unwind that stands out in a month where the average short across 639 stocks was only 1.19% and the period average change was -0.02%.
Industry Trends
Two trades dominated the tape. 1) Lithium is still the market’s favourite punching bag, but it’s more selective now. PLS (19.22%), Liontown (LTR) at 10.15% (+0.12%), and MIN (9.93%, despite the big cover) keep the sector in the top tier. The crowd is sticking with the big, liquid expressions. 2) Uranium is crowded and two-sided. BOE (15.38%), PDN (14.64%), and DYL (9.86%) sit heavily shorted, while LOT saw meaningful covering. That mix screams disagreement: one camp is buying the nuclear build-out; the other is shorting the messy reality of mine ramp-ups. Outside resources, the consumer squeeze is showing up in positioning. DMP and NCK both saw sharp short builds, and SGR joined them — different business models, same pressure point: discretionary spend in a high-rate economy.
Outlook
Next week, watch for company updates that force a timing decision: DMP on trading conditions, and BOE/PDN/DYL on production and ramp-up milestones. One clean operational datapoint in uranium — or one ugly one — will move these crowded shorts fast.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the most shorted ASX stock in October 2024?
Pilbara Minerals (PLS) at 19.22% short (month-on-month change: -0.17%).
Which stock had the biggest rise in short interest this month?
Domino’s Pizza Enterprises (DMP): 5.08% to 9.14%, up +4.06%.
Why is uranium so prominent in the most-shorted list?
Boss Energy (BOE) is 15.38% short (+2.72%), Paladin (PDN) is 14.64% (+0.72%), and Deep Yellow (DYL) is 9.86% (+0.00%). The positioning lines up with execution-risk trades around ramp-ups and delivery, not just the uranium price.
What does WEB’s short interest collapse mean?
Web Travel (WEB) fell from 6.21% to 2.25% (-3.95%), which signals broad short covering rather than a small reduction.
Is Appen (APX) still heavily shorted?
No. APX dropped from 2.93% short to 0.10% (-2.84%).
Data sourced from ASIC short position reports (T+4 delayed). This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Short selling data may not reflect real-time market conditions.