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Notes on shorting the ASX

Guides to reading ASIC’s short-position data, data stories on crowded trades and sector rotations, and the occasional detour into Australian house prices and what we are building.

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LatestMarket analysis

DroneShield starts October as the most shorted company on the ASX at 15.07%, with Boss Energy, Lotus Resources and Iperionx behind it. The October 2026 edition of the short list, from ASIC data to 30 September: the top ten, the four-week builders and coverers, the uranium, lithium and defence clusters, and the positions that would take weeks of ordinary trading to unwind.

Ben Ebsworth10 min read

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  • Guides10 min read

    A Stock Picker for the ASX: Dan Zanger's Breakout Rules, Tested Against Real Data

    Shorted's new stock picker runs four named strategies over every ASX stock we track, starting with Dan Zanger's breakout method. Every rule is scored pass, fail or unknown against published data: ASIC short positions, daily prices and volume, the S&P/ASX 200 trend and newly typed company fundamentals. Here is what each rule tests, where the numbers come from, and what the picker cannot see.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Housing8 min read

    Australian House Prices in 2026: A State-by-State Guide to What the Data Actually Says

    The national dwelling stock is now worth $12.8 trillion and the average home $1.11 million, but that average hides a two-speed market: Perth, Brisbane, Adelaide and Darwin houses are up 15 to 25 per cent in a year while Sydney and Melbourne are flat. Here is the March-quarter picture from ABS, RBA and Valuer-General data, state by state, with the caveats that matter.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Housing8 min read

    How to Read a Suburb Profile: Price, Income, SEIFA, Hazards and What They Say Before You Buy

    A suburb page on Shorted carries a Valuer-General median, a Census profile, four SEIFA indexes, amenity and school counts, electorates, elevation and hazard shares, recent asking-price cuts and the suburbs most like it. Here is how each layer is built, what it can and cannot tell you, and how to read them together, using Altona North as the worked example.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Housing6 min read

    One in Ten Listings Cut Its Asking Price This Month. Here Is Where.

    Across the 500 suburbs Shorted tracks, 1,661 homes cut their asking price in the past 30 days, a median cut of 4.3 per cent and $110 million of reductions in total. Victoria leads with one in eight listings discounted, and in a handful of outer-Melbourne suburbs it is one in four. What the price-drops data measures, what it does not, and where sellers are blinking first.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Product7 min read

    Ask Your AI About the ASX: Shorted's MCP Server Is Live

    Paste one URL into Claude or ChatGPT and it can read ASIC short positions, house prices, economic series and politicians' declared interests — no API key, no scraping, no setup. Here's what we built and the decisions behind it.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Guides14 min read

    Activist Short Sellers on the ASX: The Major Campaigns and What Happened Next

    Glaucus, Bonitas, VGI. A short report can take a third off an ASX company in a session, and Australian outcomes have run the full range from vindication to a Supreme Court finding of misleading conduct. Here's what activist shorting is, what ASIC's INFO 255 asks of everyone involved, and how the landmark campaigns actually resolved.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Guides12 min read

    ASX Reporting Season and Short Sellers: What August Does to Crowded Shorts

    Australian reporting season compresses hundreds of results into a few weeks in February and August. For heavily shorted stocks it is the window where a thesis either gets confirmed or gets run over, and ASIC's four-day reporting lag means you watch the covering arrive after the fact. Here is how the season works and how to read short data through it.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Guides12 min read

    The Most Shorted ASX Sectors: Where Short Interest Concentrates and Why

    Short interest on the ASX is not spread evenly. It piles into materials, energy and a handful of consumer and healthcare names, and it rotates as commodity cycles turn. Here's how sector-level short interest is actually constructed, what drives it, and how to read the industry view without being misled by a handful of microcaps.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Guides11 min read

    Days to Cover on the ASX: What the Short Interest Ratio Actually Tells You

    Days to cover measures how long the shorts would need to exit at normal trading volume. It's the metric that separates a crowded short you can walk away from and one that's trapped. Here's the formula, ASX-calibrated bands, and what ASIC's T+4 reporting does to the calculation.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Guides13 min read

    Do Short Sellers Actually Know Something? What the Evidence Says

    Short selling is expensive, risky and asymmetric, which is why the positions that survive tend to be well researched. The academic record broadly agrees that short sellers are informed. But the strongest results are about the whole market rather than individual stocks, and the cross-sectional evidence has a robustness problem worth understanding before you trade on it.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Guides15 min read

    How to Short a Stock in Australia: Brokers, CFDs, Options and Inverse ETFs Compared

    There are four practical ways to take short exposure to Australian shares, and they differ far more in risk and structure than in headline cost. Here's how covered short selling works under the Corporations Act, what ASIC's CFD rules actually restrict, where options and inverse ETFs fit, and how to check where the crowd already is before you commit.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Market analysis12 min read

    ASX Short Squeeze Candidates: How to Find Them With Live Data

    Ten ASX stocks carry short interest above 10% of issued capital right now — but crowded shorts alone don't make a squeeze. Here's the four-part checklist, the live screen from ASIC data, and what Zip and Pilbara Minerals teach about how squeezes actually unfold.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Market analysis8 min read

    Hormuz, Round Two: The ASX Energy Short Rotation That Beat the News

    Two weeks after we mapped ASX energy shorts, the tape rotated: Beach bears banked profits, Karoon bears reloaded, and Santos shorts tripled off a record low — all before US strikes on Iran reignited the oil risk premium.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Market analysis7 min read

    The 10 Most Shorted ASX Stocks — July 2026

    Lotus Resources tops the ASX short list at 22.81% of issued capital — shorts have added 12.4pp in 90 days. Three uranium names, Domino's, DroneShield, Telix and Flight Centre fill out July's ten most crowded bear positions, from official ASIC data.

    Ben Ebsworth
  • Market analysis9 min read

    The Oil Shock Short Sellers Ignored — Except for One ASX Stock

    The Iran war sent Brent to US$120+ and back. Yet ASX short sellers didn't pile into oil — they piled into Beach Energy. Here's what the short data reveals about how the pros really played the 2026 oil shock.

    Ben Ebsworth