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Shorts pile into BOE: +5.83% in a week to 18.83% shorted

Week 31, 2025 (28 July 20251 Aug 2025)

Week 2025-W31 was all about uranium: BOE’s short interest jumped from 13.00% to 18.83% (+5.83%), the highest on the ASX short list. PDN stayed heavily shorted at 17.49% (+0.42%), while lithium names PLS (15.93%, +0.67%) and LTR (13.14%, +0.26%) kept shorts busy. Biggest cover was RMS, down -4.48% to 1.88%.

Stocks Shorted
627
Most Shorted
18.83%
BOE
Trading Days
0
Avg Short %
1.30%
WoW Change
+0.02%

This Week's Analysis

BOE just put up the kind of weekly short move you rarely see in a liquid ASX name: +5.83% in a week, taking it to 18.83% shorted — the highest in the market this period. That’s not “a bit of caution”; that’s a crowd of funds leaning hard into a single thesis. The cleanest read is positioning around execution risk: BOE is a ramp-up story (Honeymoon in SA plus exposure to Alta Mesa in Texas), and shorts love ramp-ups because any slip in production, costs, or timing can hit sentiment fast — especially when the underlying commodity (uranium) is prone to sharp swings.

BOE (18.83%, +5.83%) is now the poster child for uranium scepticism. The company’s own framing is about scaling Honeymoon and progressing Alta Mesa toward 1.5Mlb pa, but the short spike says the market is questioning how smooth that path will be, or whether uranium pricing support is fully priced in. If you want the company’s latest positioning, BOE’s investor materials are here: http://www.bossenergy.com/images/documents/Dec24-Quarterly-Results-Presentation.pdf and http://www.bossenergy.com/images/media/2973720.pdf. PDN (17.49%, +0.42%) remains a crowded short despite being a larger, more established uranium name. With PDN, the short case is usually less about “can they mine” and more about valuation and commodity sensitivity — if uranium cools, high-beta producers get hit first. PDN’s disclosures sit here: https://www.paladinenergy.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Paladin-2025AnnualReport-Full-Web.pdf. Lithium is still the other big short playground. PLS (15.93%, +0.67%) and LTR (13.14%, +0.26%) are both firmly in the top 10, and MIN (12.92%, +0.01%) is still heavily shorted too. The message: the market isn’t done debating lithium pricing and margins, and shorts are happy to sit on the sector until there’s a clear turn. PLS’s latest quarterly advisory is here: https://1pls.irmau.com/site/pdf/3bba2523-52c7-4c38-bc03-b945945d9698/December-2025-quarterly-activities-report-advisory.pdf?Platform=ListPage. Outside resources, IEL (12.30%, +0.53%) stays a favourite short: international student flows, policy risk, and currency swings (AUD moves matter for translated earnings) keep it in the crosshairs. LIC (11.80%, +0.16%) reads like a rates-and-housing sensitivity trade — if bond yields push up, anything property-adjacent gets repriced quickly. PNV (11.46%, +0.49%) is classic healthcare shorting: high expectations, regulatory and execution risk, and any hint of growth slowing can bring in sellers. CTD (10.04%, -0.06%) saw a small cover, consistent with shorts trimming rather than pressing; CTD’s debt facility amendment is here: https://investor.travelctm.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Agreement-to-Amend-Debt-Facilities.pdf.

Top Shorted Stocks This Week

Financial Snapshot

Key financial metrics from recent company reports for the most shorted stocks.

BOEBOSS ENERGY LTD ORDINARYFY2025 Financial Results (2025-08-29)
Revenue: $75.596M(FY2025)
Revenue: $92.3M(FY2025)
Revenue: $76.098M(FY2025)
Revenue: null
PDNPALADIN ENERGY LTD ORDINARYInterim Financial Report (Canadian document filing) (2025-11-13)
Eps: -1.5c(Q1 FY2026)
Revenue: $NaNM(Q1 FY2026)
Revenue: $74.984M(Q1 FY2026)
Net Profit: $NaNM(Q1 FY2026)
PLSPILBARA MIN LTD ORDINARYFY25 Full Year Results (2025-08-25)
Net Profit: $-196M(FY25)
Net Profit: null
Net Profit: null
Net Profit: $-88M(reporting period)
MINMINERAL RESOURCES. ORDINARYAnnual Report to shareholders (2025-10-17)
Dividend: 0.0c(FY25)
IELIDP EDUCATION LTD ORDINARYAppendix 4E and Annual Report (2025-08-28)
Net Profit: $45.516M(FY2025)
Net Profit: $64.7M(FY25)
Net Profit: $64.7M(FY25)
Net Profit:
LICLIFESTYLE COMMUNIT. ORDINARYFull Year Results Release (2025-08-28)
Net Profit: $-195.3M(FY25)
SLXSILEX SYSTEMS ORDINARYAppendix 4E (2025-08-27)
Revenue: $12.204M(FY2025)
Dividend: No dividends have been paid or proposed during the reporting
Net Profit: $-42.557M(FY2025)
PNVPOLYNOVO LIMITED ORDINARYFY25 Annual Report (2025-09-08)
Revenue: $118.6M(FY25)
Revenue: $129.2M(FY25)
Revenue: $8.6M(FY2025)
Revenue: $6.7M(FY25)

Biggest Risers

Stocks with the largest increase in short interest this week.

Biggest Fallers

Stocks with the largest decrease in short interest this week.

Movers Analysis

The risers tell you where the market is getting more aggressive. 1) BOE (+5.83%): this is the outlier. A near-6% weekly lift in short interest is a statement trade. The most likely read is a mix of uranium price sensitivity plus ramp-up risk — if the next operational update disappoints, the downside can be sharp because the long base is often momentum-driven. 2) CTT (+2.94% to 8.60%): shorts moved hard into a small-cap retailer/distributor. That usually happens when the market expects margin pressure or a demand wobble — and in Australia, discretionary spending is still the first place investors look when rates bite. 3) SGR (+2.18% to 5.63%): this looks like event and regulatory risk positioning. Casinos don’t get shorted for fun; they get shorted when investors think the next headline (or compliance cost) will be ugly. 4) URW (+2.00% to 2.21%): a REIT short build is a straight macro call. If bond yields rise, property cap rates and valuations get squeezed. Shorts don’t need a company-specific blow-up — they just need rates to stay higher for longer. 5) APX (+1.46% to 5.26%): Appen is still trying to convince the market it can stabilise and grow in a brutally competitive AI data services segment. Shorts are likely leaning into customer concentration and margin risk (both flagged in the company context), rather than betting against “AI” as a theme. On the cover side, RMS (-4.48% to 1.88%) is the big one. That’s not a gentle trim — that’s shorts getting out of the way. The simplest explanation is trade management: if the stock moved against them or a catalyst passed, they’ve banked it. CU6 (-2.76% to 6.89%) also saw meaningful covering, consistent with biotech shorts reducing exposure ahead of clinical/regulatory milestones (binary outcomes can punish shorts). WEB (-0.70% to 2.93%) and BSL (-0.74% to 2.24%) both saw modest covers — more like risk-off positioning than a change in long-term view.

Industry Trends

Two sector trades dominated the tape: uranium and lithium. Uranium: BOE and PDN sit at #1 and #2 most shorted, and SLX is also high at 11.56% (+0.45%). That clustering matters. It suggests the market is treating uranium as a crowded, high-beta trade where expectations are elevated and execution matters. Shorts don’t need to be “anti-nuclear” to short these names — they just need to believe the next leg up in uranium pricing is already in the share prices, or that operational delivery won’t match the hype. Lithium: PLS, LTR and MIN staying heavily shorted tells you the sector is still in the penalty box. Even without big week-on-week jumps, the absolute short levels are high enough to say investors are still sceptical on near-term pricing power and cash margins. Rates-sensitive and consumer names also popped. URW’s short build is a clean rates call, while CTT and SGR point to pressure in discretionary spending and heavily regulated consumer services. Across the whole market, the average short is only 1.30% and the period average change was +0.02%, so these big moves are stock-specific conviction — not a broad-based surge in shorting.

Outlook

Next week, watch for any uranium price volatility and any BOE operational update risk — with 18.83% short, the stock is set up for violent moves either way. Keep an eye on rates expectations too: URW and LIC are telling you the market is still jumpy about bond yields.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BOE’s +5.83% weekly jump in short interest unusual?

Yes. BOE moved from 13.00% to 18.83% shorted in one week, which is a very large shift versus the market’s average weekly change of +0.02%.

Which sectors are most targeted by shorts this week?

Uranium (BOE 18.83%, PDN 17.49%, SLX 11.56%) and lithium/materials (PLS 15.93%, LTR 13.14%, MIN 12.92%) dominate the top 10.

What does a big short cover like RMS (-4.48%) usually mean?

It typically signals shorts are taking profit, reducing risk ahead of a catalyst, or reacting to a price move against them; in RMS’s case short interest fell from 6.36% to 1.88% in a week.

Why would shorts increase in a REIT like URW (+2.00%)?

REITs are sensitive to bond yields; URW’s short interest rose from 0.20% to 2.21%, consistent with traders positioning for higher-for-longer rates pressuring property valuations.

Which top-10 shorted stock saw shorts ease this week?

CTD was the only one in the top 10 with a week-on-week decline, edging down from 10.10% to 10.04% (-0.06%).

Data sourced from ASIC short position reports (T+4 delayed). This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Short selling data may not reflect real-time market conditions.