population.erp.total.nt
Estimated resident population
Latest value
267.5K
Change from prior period
+511
from July 2025
- Unit
- persons
- Frequency
- Quarterly
- Adjustment
- Original
- Latest catalog period
- Oct 2025
- Source
- abs-population
- Source licence
- CC-BY-4.0
Northern Territory economy · Population growth
Northern Territory population estimates can change materially with comparatively small interstate or overseas flows. Breaking the total into its components reveals why a quarterly headline moved.
4 published series · abs-population
population.erp.total.nt
Latest value
267.5K
Change from prior period
+511
from July 2025
population.natural_increase.total.nt
Latest value
400
Change from prior period
-100
from July 2025
population.net_interstate_migration.total.nt
Latest value
-420
Change from prior period
-15
from July 2025
population.net_overseas_migration.total.nt
Latest value
500
Change from prior period
-500
from July 2025
Estimated resident population is the Australian Bureau of Statistics' official measure of people who usually live in each state or territory. Quarterly updates start from the Census population base and add natural increase, net overseas migration and net interstate migration, which are shown as the wider four-series family on these pages. The newest estimates are preliminary because births, deaths and migration records arrive on different schedules. They are revised as registration data matures, traveller and administrative information is updated, and after each Census through rebasing and intercensal adjustments. Component estimates may therefore change even when the broad population direction does not. Estimated resident population is not a live headcount, a count of citizens, a measure of housing demand or a statement about infrastructure capacity. Migration components are net flows, so they conceal larger movements in both directions. The series describe past demographic change and do not forecast future population, rents, employment or public-service needs.
Coarse operating-exposure bands are AI estimates based on public company information. Headquarters-only matches are withheld.
NST Northern Star ResourcesMaterials
Some operations exposure (estimate)
Basis: Tanami gold mine operations
RIO Rio TintoMaterials
Some operations exposure (estimate)
Basis: Gove bauxite operations
STO SantosEnergy
Some operations exposure (estimate)
Basis: Barossa and Darwin LNG interests
S32 South32Materials
Some operations exposure (estimate)
Basis: Groote Eylandt manganese operations
TBN Tamboran ResourcesEnergy
Majority of operations (estimate)
Basis: Northern Territory shale gas exploration
ARU Arafura Rare EarthsMaterials
Majority of operations (estimate)
Basis: Nolans rare earths project development
Every chart reports its source, unit, frequency, adjustment and source licence from the economic-series catalogue. Latest periods may be preliminary or revised by the publisher. Historical data only; not a forecast or financial advice.