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ReportsMarch 2025
All Reports

Monthly Report · March 2025

BOE at 24.80% short: the market’s biggest “show me” trade

Boss Energy (BOE) ripped higher on the short list, up +3.87% to 24.80% — the highest short position in March. Uranium dominated the pointy end (BOE 24.80%, PDN 15.67%, DYL 13.09%) while lithium stayed crowded (PLS 12.98%, MIN 12.63%). The cleanest cover was Syrah (SYR), down -4.34% to 7.36%, with gold shorts also cut hard (WGX -2.53% to 2.08%, BGL -2.35% to 4.25%).

Stocks Shorted
660
Most Shorted
24.80%
BOE
Avg Short %
1.25%▲+0.04%
Trading Days
21

This Month's Analysis

24.80%. That’s BOE’s short interest after a +3.87% month-on-month jump, in a market where the average short position barely budged (+0.04%). When one stock does that, it’s not “positioning”. It’s a dare.

The top 10 is split into two camps: radioactive and rate-sensitive. At the top sits Boss Energy (BOE) at 24.80% (+3.87%), the maximum short position in the dataset. Shorts have piled into the moment where the story has to turn into steady output. Boss’s own framing is in its quarterly material and investor deck (http://www.bossenergy.com/images/media/2973720.pdf, http://www.bossenergy.com/images/documents/Dec24-Quarterly-Results-Presentation.pdf). Paladin (PDN) is still heavily shorted at 15.67%, but it was one of the few big names to see meaningful covering (-1.99%). That’s a rotation inside uranium rather than a sector-wide exit. PDN’s reporting suite, including its annual report, is here: https://www.paladinenergy.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Paladin-2025AnnualReport-Full-Web.pdf. Deep Yellow (DYL) climbed to 13.09% (+1.31%). The Vimy acquisition expanded the portfolio, and with it the list of moving parts that can slip. The company’s annual report is here: http://www.deepyellow.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025AnnualReport06Oct25NoCoverSheet.pdf. Lithium stayed sticky. Pilbara Minerals (PLS) is 12.98% (+0.60%) and Mineral Resources (MIN) is 12.63% (+1.96%). MIN’s jump is the louder message: the market is leaning into earnings and execution risk across a business with multiple levers. MIN’s full year results pack: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/o6ep64o3/production/b23c9b1f93dbe5cc41520061cafecf0c1d214c77.pdf. Outside resources, the shorts kept their foot on two consumer-facing names: IDP Education (IEL) at 12.30% (-0.46%) and Domino’s (DMP) at 11.87% (+1.44%). IEL’s small ease suggests less appetite to press the downside at the margin; DMP’s lift reads like a straight margin-and-demand trade in a cost-of-living market.

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Top Shorted Stocks This Month

#
Stock
Short %
MoM
1
BO
BOE
BOSS ENERGY LTD ORDINARY · Energy
24.80%
+3.87%
2
PD
PDN
PALADIN ENERGY LTD ORDINARY · Energy
15.67%
-1.99%
3
DY
DYL
DEEP YELLOW LIMITED ORDINARY · Energy
13.09%
+1.31%
4
PL
PLS
PILBARA MIN LTD ORDINARY · Materials
12.98%
+0.60%
5
MI
MIN
MINERAL RESOURCES. ORDINARY · Materials
12.63%
+1.96%
6
IE
IEL
IDP EDUCATION LTD ORDINARY · Consumer Services
12.30%
-0.46%
7
DM
DMP
DOMINO PIZZA ENTERPR ORDINARY · Consumer Services
11.87%
+1.44%
8
LT
LTR
LIONTOWN RESOURCES ORDINARY · Materials
10.52%
+0.11%
9
LI
LIC
LIFESTYLE COMMUNIT. ORDINARY · Real Estate Management & Development
10.15%
+0.37%
10
CT
CTT
CETTIRE ORDINARY · Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
9.82%
-0.61%

Biggest Risers

Stocks with the largest increase in short interest this month.

Stock
Prev → Now
Change
BO
BOE
BOSS ENERGY LTD ORDINARY · Energy
20.93→24.80%
+3.87%
LO
LOT
LOTUS RESOURCES LTD ORDINARY · Materials
6.13→9.12%
+2.99%
PN
PNV
POLYNOVO LIMITED ORDINARY · Health Care Equipment & Services
5.99→8.83%
+2.84%
JH
JHX
JAMES HARDIE INDUST CHESS DEPOSITARY INT · Materials
0.74→3.44%
+2.71%
MS
MSB
MESOBLAST LIMITED ORDINARY · Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
2.95→5.03%
+2.08%

Biggest Fallers

Stocks with the largest decrease in short interest this month.

Stock
Prev → Now
Change
SY
SYR
SYRAH RESOURCES ORDINARY · Materials
11.70→7.36%
-4.34%
WG
WGX
WESTGOLD RESOURCES. ORDINARY · Materials
4.61→2.08%
-2.53%
BG
BGL
BELLEVUE GOLD LTD ORDINARY · Materials
6.61→4.25%
-2.35%
KL
KLS
KELSIAN GROUP LTD ORDINARY · Transportation
4.82→2.48%
-2.34%
PD
PDN
PALADIN ENERGY LTD ORDINARY · Energy
17.66→15.67%
-1.99%

Movers Analysis

This month’s action wasn’t in the rankings. It was in the changes. Biggest risers: - BOE: 20.93% → 24.80% (+3.87%). The month’s centre of gravity. - LOT: 6.13% → 9.12% (+2.99%). Uranium restart risk is getting priced like a feature, not a footnote. - PNV: 5.99% → 8.83% (+2.84%). Growth healthcare shorts usually show up when expectations are high and the market starts asking how repeatable the numbers are. - JHX: 0.74% → 3.44% (+2.71%). A low-base move into a liquid macro proxy: building products are where traders go when they want to express a rates-and-housing view. - MSB: 2.95% → 5.03% (+2.08%). Biotech shorting is milestone-driven, and this lift says traders want to be paid for regulatory and funding risk. Biggest fallers: - SYR: 11.70% → 7.36% (-4.34%). That’s a crowded trade being unwound in a hurry. - WGX: 4.61% → 2.08% (-2.53%). - BGL: 6.61% → 4.25% (-2.35%). Gold shorts were bought back aggressively, and the speed matters: when the commodity tape turns against you, shorting producers stops being clever and starts being expensive. WGX’s quarterly results pack is here: https://www.westgold.com.au/pdf/04f3a488-dcae-4b9a-aa1c-b6f627b7bfda/December-2025-Quarterly-Results.pdf?Platform=ListPage. The punchline: uranium shorts added risk (BOE, LOT, DYL), while gold shorts reduced it (WGX, BGL). That’s a real rotation, not noise.

Industry Positioning

Zoom out and March reads like a bifurcated Materials tape. One side is energy transition metals where the market is paying up for scepticism. Uranium is the headline: BOE, PDN and DYL are all top-10 shorted, and LOT was a top riser. The common thread isn’t “nuclear demand” in a slide deck. It’s delivery risk — ramp-ups, restarts, timelines, and the gap between plans and plant performance. The other side is the unwind in gold shorts. WGX and BGL both saw sharp covering, which fits a market that doesn’t want to be caught short the wrong hedge. Away from resources, JHX’s jump is the cleanest macro tell in the data. At 3.44% short after a +2.71% lift, it’s the kind of position that can build quickly if rates stay restrictive and housing momentum fades.

Outlook

Watch BOE’s next operational update on the Honeymoon ramp-up. With 24.80% of the stock sold short, the reaction function is simple: clean execution forces covering; any stumble invites another wave of shorts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is BOE’s short interest at 24.80% such a big deal?

It’s the highest short position in the March dataset (max short %: 24.80%) and it rose from 20.93% to 24.80% in one month (+3.87%), while the period average change across the market was only +0.04%.

Which stocks had the biggest short covering in March 2025?

Syrah (SYR) fell from 11.70% to 7.36% (-4.34%), Westgold (WGX) fell from 4.61% to 2.08% (-2.53%), and Bellevue Gold (BGL) fell from 6.61% to 4.25% (-2.35%).

Are lithium stocks still heavily shorted on the ASX?

Yes. Pilbara Minerals (PLS) is 12.98% short (+0.60%) and Mineral Resources (MIN) is 12.63% short (+1.96%) in March 2025.

What does a jump in JHX short interest mean?

James Hardie (JHX) rose from 0.74% to 3.44% (+2.71%). That’s a shift from negligible to meaningful short interest, often used as a liquid way to express a rates-and-housing slowdown view.

How many ASX stocks were shorted and what was the average short position?

In March 2025, 660 stocks had reported short positions and the average short percentage was 1.25%.

Data sourced from ASIC short position reports (T+4 delayed). This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Short selling data may not reflect real-time market conditions.